What Is A Win?

  What A Win In Afghanistan Earns & Costs
 
BO, politicians of all sorts, experienced and inexperienced generals, pundits, and the populace have opinions about the American coalition's next strategic move regarding Afghanistan.
Most want to win. Some say America cannot win. Some say America must win.
Has anyone including politicians, generals, pundits, and ordinary people paused to identify what it actually means to "Win In Afghanistan"? Has anyone put together a brief business-plan approach that identifies "Win" before attempting to make strategic decisions regarding Afghanistan?
To continue waging an ill-defined war without first accurately identifying what win means, is to recklessly lose American and allied lives, unnecessarily maim our forces, and further erode the United States' military standing before the world. The only way to win is to, 1.) Define "win"; 2.) Devise a plan that reasonably assures our win; and, 3.) Correctly implement that plan.

An American / Allied loss is a win for global terrorism and terrorists. The war in Afghanistan must be analyzed using a business-plan approach.
What does "Win In Afghanistan" mean for free people? Consider what objectives often define winning in a war:
--   End a despotic ruler's control and destruction;
--   Ensure that people are free to choose to live as they prefer to live and build their rescued, salvaged nation into a safe, productive, developing, cooperative nation;
--   Make the world more safe and somewhat more good -- at least temporarily.

What does win mean to the people of Afghanistan?
In order for the American coalition to help the Afghan people win a war against internal and externally-funded fanatics, those people must have a desire to be liberated and then be willing to fight and work to live free.
Afghanistan is not a nation of one people. It is a land mass holding tribes and factional groups with multiple leaders, multiple disparate causes, and short-term economic objectives.
If the Taliban, al Quada, tribes, and terrorist groups of all sorts were to be eliminated from Afghanistan, what would the Afghan people do? They have no leadership hierarchy that could provide a local, regional, and national unity, no nationally unifying force promoting productivity, no national cohesion that might lead to peaceful coexistence among tribes.
Were the Taliban, al Quada, and like groups eliminated from Afghanistan, tribes would likely congeal, new leaders would arise, and rivalries would build factions. A new war of a new form would take shape.
The USSR's military experienced defeat in Afghanistan after a decade-long war. To the USSR, to win ultimately was defined as getting out.

An American win in Afghanistan would result in a new congealing of tribal entities following the loss of unknown numbers of liberating forces. When the new alignments finished blooming and started feuding again and Afghanistan was enmeshed in war and again became a terrorist safe-haven, the world would again deride America. The world would scoff at the USA because America lost more of its most valuable treasure, The Best Of The Best -- those who fought to save Afghanistan -- and ultimately lost.
Much of the world realizes Afghanistan cannot be saved. Afghanistan is a geographic collection of agrarian tribes. It is not a nation. It is bounded by its neighbors' borders, not by its borders. Afghanistan cannot be force-formed into the shape of a nation.

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