Thinking May Be Hazardous For Your Arrogance |
| But As A New Experience, Let's Give It A Try |
In complete agreement, Headline Reports said: "Okay, right away. But first..."
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It's So Easy Get People To Follow --- Just Have A Plan ! It Doesn't Even Take Leadership
Skills, Only Enticements© In an earlier time not too far away, lived a young boy in training for a history-making life. His trainers are skilled at molding and developing people who have no ideals nor scruples; people who are capable of focusing their efforts upon the successful completion of their assignments. The products of this training regime will be wired to never surrender regardless of imminent failure or intense logical error. This young Soviet boy, code named Will for his steadfastness, raised in his KGB family, was an excellent student assimilating his empirical studies quickly. He garnered the adulation of all who knew him in the secret training grounds. He was given a purpose of importance only dreamed of by his trainers; they had been waiting for the perfect specimen for this most difficult assignment. If successful, the world would be driven into chaos. If unsuccessful, the organization would be exposed and self-destruct. This Ultimate Mission, as designed and planned for nearly two decades, was to "Gain control of the United States and use its institutions for the political, social and economic destabilization of industrialized nations." During his childhood, each day's game playing and education was directed at instilling in Will the psychological, physical, and personality traits needed to successfully complete the mission -- regardless of how long it may take. The plan was so complete that it needed little modification during Will's youth. The exception to this was realized when Will was 6 years old. His trainers perceived his inability to organize operationally cohesive, dedicated small groups that could be given assignments and complete them without reservation and resignations. To ameliorate Will's lacking, the trainers selected a female partner who would accompany Will during implementation of the Ultimate Mission. Her assignment included complete loyalty and dedication to the mission. Her training mandated that she would unceasingly work behind the shadows to build the organization regardless of Will's known shortcomings. Her mission was to ensure Will's success regardless of changes in national or global political events and without concern for Will's expected wavering over the anticipated 25 year project. Just before Stalin's death in 1953, there came a window through which Will could be placed with a surrogate family in an obscure town in an unnoticed southern state of the United States. Will's female associate was named Cheskanzioka which roughly translated from Russian means 'hilarious'. This label was a private joke with the KGB trainers because early on they noticed that she rarely laughed and only smiled when publicly meeting coworkers. Cheskanzioka was assigned an American name. The Ultimate Mission was underway. The mechanisms were activated. Will and his associate, although placed hundreds of miles apart in specifically selected lower and middle class families respectively, would not officially meet again until in college. Each were thoroughly programmed and would receive booster doses of training periodically over the next years. They knew the value to their homeland of the successful superpower takeover and global destabilization. They were focused, top-notch students through their childhood and teen years. The mechanisms supporting the Ultimate Mission ensured that each would gain access to correct institutions of learning and meet the right and malleable men and women who could consort with them toward success. The KGB trainers knew that overall success was dependent upon these ancillary mechanisms. One of the ancillary people assigned to ensure mission success would be from an established family and his work would be multi-faceted, requiring his on and off appearance in several roles of power. His spotlight flash appearances reminding his KGB trainers of a stroboscopic light earned him his KGB code name. The flawless KGB Ultimate Mission was executed to perfection over the years with Will meeting his associate in their college years. Both were gathering the living moss of several subordinates, each one having special traits. This rolling snowball of well-educated capabilities gathered mass and momentum in the 1960's. The pair was well suited to ignite the circumstances. Will's unnoticed southern state served as an easily conquered home and base to build and quietly congeal power. This gave time to his cohorts to establish their own repertoires in related supporting roles and to clandestinely accumulate money --- the eventual catapult to national prominence. Will's superfluous diversions over the years would almost derail the Ultimate Mission on occasions, but as his KGB trainers had envisioned, his associate held a tight grip on circumstances from the shadows and rescued it. Will was the penultimate frontman; his associate the quintessential invisible controlling hand. On schedule, power was taken. It was taken using the dark facilities and skills of Will and his associate. It was taken while the populace cheered with the simplicity of children. It was taken with the democratic institutions in full theoretical support. The Ultimate Mission is a complete success. Will and his associate have vectored onward to success as only a perfectly guided missile with infinite momentum could. The Ultimate Mission is in its final stage. Destabilization is evolving on political fronts. Economic fronts will tumble out of place in chaos on schedule. The people cheer their Constitution. Headline Reports ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Would you like to let Headline Reports know what you think? Respond below. |
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1991 Headline Reports wrote: Today the Hermit says: These developments are not part of a
conspiracy. They represent implementation of a business plan with global cultural,
social, and economic ramifications. This forward movement is known as Progress. The U.S. looks inward while frolicking and continuing to believe that it leads the world --- as did Great Britain over the last 100 years. Why are so many individuals focused inwardly on personal, community and national levels? Why have they taken the easy road that has been offered? Individuals have been pacified because it is easier to whine, be patted on the head and comforted by mommy Rodham-Clinton and daddy Clinton. They and their ideologues weaseled themselves into U.S. culture and used their revered offices and powerful positions to pervert our perception of leadership. People have accepted that weak, emotionalized, pseudo-leadership as genuine. The Clinton machine has taken over the unimportant aspects of our lives. That is, government is more qualified to spend the money we earn and it will provide health care (really and when?), it dictates how we should interact with each other, and it takes credit for economic prosperity and the productivity brought about by great minds, technology and macro economic plans implemented years ago into the momentum-bridled economy. We are left to control the important aspects of our lives. That is, we are "free" and left to watch sporting events, play computer games, get overly involved in how our neighbors live their lives and to fight the many civil wars now being waged in the U.S. (black vs. white, women vs. men, same gender rights, freedom of speech, abortion, immigration, and on and on.) Clinton never was President of the United States --- he was and remains the Secretary of Sadness, leading an emotionalized population of mourners (crying about tragedies daily, wearing ribbons and laying cheap piles of flower wreaths) and whining about inequities (social, cultural and economic) which can, we are repeatedly told, only be repaired through Clintonian socialism that deprives individuals of earnings and hands it to those unworthy and unable to earn. But people instinctively understand and know this. Extrapolate this concept and you see and may understand roadrage, sullen behavior of people everywhere, and the pervasive, ubiquitous anger. These dark forces are present in stores, homes, offices and on our highways. Headline Reports Note: Headline Reports promises future writings will be more fun --- in keeping with today's spirit. |
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March 15, 2000 Use any reasonable definition of "Bear Market" and answer: Are we in a bear market, correction or a down-trend?© How many stocks are down, how far down from highs made over 8 months ago, for how long, across how many industries? How many stocks are up over the recent 6 months? Are the major headlining indices distorted due to the algorithm used (that is, capitalization weighting or the lemming-like focusing upon specific groups of companies (one day from techs to consumer products, the next week from consumer products to financial services, and so on)? What would provide the unbiased observer the reason to think any group or individual stock might go up? Is it more likely that a given stock will go down or up? Are there divergences in related industry groups and major indices? When the markets correct will the narrow group of tech winners expand to include the majority of stocks that have declined over the recent period? Or will the irrational winners of recent months collapse and take the recent losers down even more? In other words, when market psychology turns negative, will that same psychology induce people to sell and then turn around and buy or will they be so terrified that they are ecstatic to have salvaged their cash? Regarding the narrowing cone selection process of favor: The universe of stocks in favor has been narrowing into a cone for nearly a year. This focusing and narrowing has brought us to the point of frenzy. The rule is: -- Dump everything not in the favored genres. -- Buy anything in the favored genres. This explains the divergence seen in the indices. The ultimate point is this process leads us along a chaotic path to the singularity of nothing left to buy. What does that say about what to trade? Sell? Regarding earnings: What could make earnings increase over the intermediate term other than technological efficiencies? Name an industry that has pricing capability. Name an industry that is not over-staffed. Technology companies are under-staffed with creative people, but suffer the same relative low competence level as service industries, manufacturing, etc. Regarding costs of production: How much more can companies cut costs? Can unit volume increase and thus cut cost per unit much more? If the macro consumer-driven economy slows and layoffs occur, who will purchase those increased unit volumes and at what prices? Regarding stock yields: Cash and bonds offer attractive opportunities relative to stocks. But they are not in favor --- not fun nor sexy. Regarding psychology: Is real estate overvalued? That is, has it had a rapid increase relative to rational demand? Will interest rates increase and buyer attitudes cool and cause a slowdown? What if potential buyers hole up --- stay put? Does the railroad train then slow with a derailment of some cars in the middle and rear? Regarding commodity prices: Are there more people needing more food? Why are commodity prices hitting new lows and many at multi-year lows. What is the potential for oil prices to damage the perfect equation of the macro economy? Regarding the Phillips curve: Why did the Phillips curve work best and only really work in the USA? Note it worked as a rational, high-level explanation. Obviously it worked because it is the purest implementation of capitalism! Elsewhere there have been wage and price controls, commodity shortages and oligopolies. Regarding actual unemployment: How is unemployment measured? What elements are measured? Are all people being counted and categorized as either employed or unemployed? Have there always existed so many home-workers and non-full time workers? Are there more "comfortably welI-off" people not working, but still consuming? Are these people unemployed; are they employed as consumers? Where do welfare and other entitlement payments that add to consumerism fit? They do fuel this consumer-driven economy. If adults and children receive entitlements and spend those billions of dollars are they consumers? Are they employed? Inflation is dead -- this time for sure, again: The CPI and other indicators including grocery and automobile shopping verify the lack of producer pricing control. Oil spurts upward quickly, but then retreats (for political and business reasons). How about that tobacco stuff? Well, that is so politically incorrect that we can just pretend it is transparent -- as transparent as a brick wall is to a blind man. But look at financial assets and the quasi-financial asset, the primary residence as measured by rents and mortgages. These two classes of assets have disproportionately exploded in a massive inflationary move. They have inflated so much as to have taken over a disproportionately large portion of the consumer's economic pie and his economic interest. With stocks and real estate so much fun to buy from our Internet keyboards, who has time for other pastimes? There is no tolerance on the part of the consumer to 'pay-up' for a pizza, apples and shaving cream. Inflation is thriving in the financial and housing markets. These market items are important in civilized life but have become disproportionately large in today's economic pie. The equilibrium will return. Results will be consistent with other inflationary moves. Regarding arrogance and ignorance: Are well-paid workers saving? Are well-paid workers spending indiscriminately? Would well-paid workers not experienced in economic downturns know enough to save and spend wisely? Is the "I want it" psychology firmly entrenched? Do we all have the right to have most everything we want now? Regarding "We are in the longest economic boom in history": Is this why we are so very happy, contented, pleased to be alive and so pleasant to neighbors, friends, strangers? What is roadrage? How do those retail clerks hold their jobs? Why doesn't my personal banker even return my call? Regarding the future: Imagine how nasty things will become after the correction.... Headline Reports Note: Headline Reports promises future writings will be more fun --- in keeping with today's spirit. Really! Note: As of April 5, 2000, 67.8 percent of stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 were down 20 percent or more from their 52-week peaks and 84.9 percent of stocks in the Nasdaq composite according to Salomon Smith Barney. |
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Breakthrough: Alois Alzheimer (1864-1915) was a German neurologist. Naive Questions: Where was Alzheimer's disease decades ago? Was it afraid to join us? Was it held off by something we were not aware of? Why did it only recently gain popular status? If Alzheimer's disease was occurring in only a very few elderly decades ago, then we must acknowledge that, 'Since life expectancies were shorter, our grand-parents didn't live long enough to demonstrate the effects of this creeping disease'. But even though life expectancies have increased over recent decades, several decades ago a large percentage of Western civilization populations did live well into the Alzheimer years. Large numbers of people lived long enough to at least begin to display the initial signs of Alzheimer's disease. So let us ask if perhaps yesterday's doctors over-looked the early symptoms. Well, did they? And if they did, how did the many relatives of those long-lived, developing-Alzheimer's parent- and grand-parent-victims not notice the onset of this insidious disease? After answering these points, we may conclude --- logically --- that six decades ago Alzheimer's disease did exist, but in a smaller percentage of the population than it does today. So When Did The Epidemic Start?: Headline Reports has a friend --- Yes, even hermits have friends and live down the street from someone. Headline Reports's friend, Neverabour The Hermit, is charting the incidence of reported cases by year going back 100 years. Headline Reports is expecting to receive his copy of this chart soon. (Peter's friend, Neverabour The Hermit, is difficult to talk with on a regular basis.) So What Might Be The Possible Causes?: Aluminum, AL, as used in cookware: A little chemistry lesson --- NO, DO NOT STOP HERE. This is painless. Aluminum, a metal, has loose electrons and that's why it is a good conductor of electricity. Aluminum oxide has those loose electrons tied-up and is not a good conductor (not loose --- not available to flow). Onward with an example: We know that cooking with iron frying pans is (or was thought to be) "good for you" because iron is leached into your food and it will 'build up' your blood. (Never mind the latest 'findings' that any more iron than 'normally' occurs in 'normal' blood from 'normal' eating can cause leukemia.) Now on to aluminum: Could it be that the aluminum alloy used in cookware (like iron) leaches into food. Might it lodge in neuron cavities in some areas of the brain and thus disrupt electrical impulse flow --- thought processes? Aluminum hydroxide: This simple inorganic chemical (with easily broken bonds) is applied when we use antiperspirants. (Peter doesn't use antiperspirants --- deodorants only. And not just because he's a hermit! So aluminum was not the cause of Peter's becoming a hermit.) Note that this chemical component of antiperspirants is applied to the under-arm, an area rich in blood flow, compacted and warmed to a temperature at which some ionic bonds of some molecules could be broken, thus leaving the AL to be swept into the blood, flow to the brain, and come to a comfortable rest between neurons to interfere with electrical impulses --- thought processes. Fluorine -- No, not the old wife's tales about fluoridation in our drinking water!!! Fluorine is also an ionic element --- it is not an inert element --- it has loose electrons. The similar logic applies to the fluoridation of drinking water as with the AL compound in antiperspirants and AL alloy in cookware. The Point: The point is that these theses need to be correlated with the greatly increased occurrence of Alzheimer's disease. That is what Headline Reports is planning to do with the chart from Neverabour The Hermit. Peter is charting the use of AL in antiperspirants and cookware, and the initial occurrences of fluorine compounds in city drinking water supplies across the USA. Headline Reports will overlay these curves looking for correlations. Then Headline Reports will calculate the ages of today's Alzheimer's patients with the initiation, ongoing use and end of use periods of AL and FL. NOTE: When did you last see all those displays of aluminum pots and pans for sale in cooking stores? No, Not Everyone, But: No, Not Everyone Is Susceptible to all phenomena including aluminum and fluorine compounds any more than everyone is susceptible and dies from the flu. But some people do actually die from the same flu bug that others get over in a matter of days and does not phase others.... |
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We need a new word... Our desperate need: As we all know societies evolve by learning new concepts. But how can society evolve if there is no word available to accurately express a new concept? Without a word to describe --- to label --- a new concept that new concept cannot be learned and used. Older words may be applied to new concepts and new concepts may not develop fully since we cannot grab on to them. This will surely inhibit peoples' ability to understand and develop. We often preview a movie. What do we call it after we have previewed that movie... How about "postviewed"? When you think about something expected to happen in the future, you may predict its outcome, its timing, or its meaning. What would you say about your prediction after has been made? How about lableing it your "postdict"? Sounds clumsy? New terms often need time to be accepted. Today's society is filled with judges: people who have anointed themselves to judge the rest of us on every topic from eating healthy foods to when to drive too fast for conditions regardless of the speed limit. For centuries our ancestors possessed the verb 'to judge'. (We must concern ourselves here with the verb for to attempt to cover the noun would mean we would include all those people today who consider themselves judges of everything social, cultural and technical.... And that would immediately raise the question, "How did so many partially-uneducated and fully-young people become astute enough to be so judgmental?" That is more than enough material for several other writings.) Back to the verb 'to judge': We are fortunate to have this verb because we also have some people who have the skills to judge, to assess, to determine. The accuracy of those judgments, assessments and determinations is always (as it should be) open to re-evaluation by others of greater or lesser skills, to re-judge. Eventually after enough time and re-judging a consensus may be reached... that is, a societal conclusion of good-bad, right-wrong, smart-dumb, and ever onward or backward. We must start somewhere: The American Heritage Dictionary defines 'judge' as: "To form an opinion or estimation of after careful consideration." My friend, Paul Ultimatus, even as an intellectually-oriented infant, was an observing thinker who stored observations, processed those observations, and reached conclusions. These conclusions then formed the basis of his infant-child-adult opinions. Results of his first-hand observations accumulated into opinions we call prejudices. Paul will use his prejudices to make decisions as he traverses time. He may decide not to buy the next stock he sees until he verifies that it does not represent a defunct company... or if he is really an observer, not defunct enough to burn and cause the same pain he experienced (only) once before. (Being a thinker he necessarily needs to buy at least a defunct company once just because it is there and he wants to assess its value first-hand.) But what of those who have observed? But sometimes Paul (not by chance) makes an empirical observation or even multiple observations, assimilates those empirical results, and with his God-given and personally-developed intellect, derives a new conclusion. This reassessment may lead Paul to observe further the object of his reassessment. What if upon ongoing reassessment using more empirical data, Paul, the analytical observer, continues to substantiate his reassessment logically, based upon facts, concludes that his reassessment is valid, accurate, clearly derived and must be implemented as the rule to live by? Now the problem: What is he to call his reassessment? He had opinions which are judgments. He lived by those judgments as they were confirmed and became pre-judgments or prejudices. Now Paul has formed new opinions so he decided to call them postjudices. On to the point: Time passes and observations are made over time. New observations result in constant reevaluations and sometimes new opinions. Paul, our ever-fresh thinking observer is smart so most or many of his new opinions are accurate, will lead to better decisions and he is likely to prosper and succeed in life. Recently Paul changed his opinion of bottled water. Paul enjoyed bottled water years ago even though he thought it somewhat preposterous; he was never so silly as to walk down the street with a bottle of water. Last month Paul read the latest quantitative chemical analyses, understood how straightforward this testing was and reassessed his view of bottled water. He is now pleased to use his new opinion, his postjudice, and express himself honestly on subject and subjects relating from his updated opinion. He no longer consumes bottled water. Upon occasion Paul will politely mention his empirical observations and resultant conclusion to his friends. But Paul has received some rebuke for holding his new opinion on bottled water. His friends hold with their prejudice toward bottled water. In a free society where Paul is vested with Freedom of Speech he may (if he doesn't mind losing friends over serious bottled water issues) express himself freely. But his fellow citizens, all of whom also are vested with Freedom of Speech but perhaps do not continue to observe, think clearly, and update their older opinions (prejudices), have evolved into judges --- each and every one of them! What does Paul do when he finds that his new opinion derived after reading, tasting and laboratory analysis leads him to form a postjudice that puts him out of favor with his friends and fellow citizens? They form the majority and yet do not continue to observe, think clearly, and remain open to reassessment. Onward, please, to the point: Paul is cursed with an automatonic need to observe, think clearly and reassess. When his reassessments result in new opinions --- change his prejudice --- to opinions that do not coincide with the majority's viewpoint, discord and nastiness is born. Paul loses friends, must keep generally quiet, and is less happy with life because he believes that his new opinion is valid. He also knows that valid new opinions, even when inconsistent with majority prejudices (known as old opinions), will move society forward. Paul knows that progress is good for all. The solution: The obvious solution to this dilemma is Paul's new word. We know the word 'judge' and the concept 'to judge' represent current activities. The word 'prejudice' (pre-judge) obviously represents the result of a past observation. The problem is that the judgment, or prejudice, ushered forth by past observations and older thinking may not be accurate over time and in light of changing circumstances. We know that to stick with old judgments can be misleading. Therefore we need Paul's new word to connote and denote new opinions derived from new observations. Headline Reports, who is Paul's long-time friend and is concerned for anyone who thinks, has suggested Paul plow on using his new word. Paul should introduce his new opinion of bottled water as a postjudice derived after reassessment: a post-observation, post-thought and new-assessment result. But Paul told Headline Reports that 'postjudice' will not fly. Valid or not, it is too hard to say. The syllables do not role off the average person's tongue --- nor do they process in the average person's mind. Headline Reports is searching for an easily pronounced word --- a word for the masses. Headline Reports |
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When did I move into a trailer park? A few weeks ago my cousin Anne sent me a new television set as a surprise-for-no-occasion gift. How thoughtful.... I had a TV, but had been (wasting a lot of time) reading biographies and history instead of watching all those wonderful cable stations. Watching those TV stations with their flashy video tricks on the commercials and the programs themselves is unnecessary and distractive from the messages -- but that's for another day. I know I'm ahead of (or at least out of step with) most people. I do enjoy flashy fire works, but once a year on July 4 is really enough for me. But back to my new CybertronicSonicVision TV with 439 stations presented in full life-like color 32" screen. I always want to keep up with the times so I decided to selectively select some of the better stations in order to rest with the knowledge that I am up to date culturally. I know that CNN is the world leader in news -- I know that to be a fact because I learned that while watching CNN. I have been interested in getting updated on Kosovo, European economic changes, Asian politics, Chinese missile inventions, Argentinean economic development, chip advances made in Silicon Valley, the latest new movie from Hollywood, unemployment statistics, global trade progress, and the weather. The first piece of enlightenment I got was that the weather 1200 miles away was nasty with tornadoes. Switching channels I learned that Madonna may settle in with the father of her latest child. Switching again I learned that there is another civil rights revolt somewhere in the USA. Switching again I learned that a group of citizens disagrees with a court decision ruling against one of their own. I decided to activate a new feature on my new CybertronicSonicVision TV so I set it on auto-pilot. Fortunately the manual instructed me in five different languages because it took my studying four of them before I could understand the steps to accomplishing a successful activation. Again man prevailed over chip and I launched my CybertronicSonicVision TV into auto-pilot randomized sequential variable delay scan of all channels encoded with xy beads. I sat back ready to enjoy the automated painless enlightenment process. Suddenly, I realized that I had been watching for over one hour! I checked my CybertronicSonicVision's verification of viewership record database and was terrified at what I read on the display! My CybertronicSonicVision (accuracy is guaranteed to be 99.994%) recorded that I had been watching all scanned channels for 4 hours 13 minutes 2.1 seconds. Furthermore it recorded that I had thoroughly enjoyed the entertainment channels, been enlightened watching the news channels, been educated watching the documentary channels, wealthier after watcing the stock market shows, and been enthralled watching the movie and quiz show channels. Honestly, maybe I should confess that I did watch all that stuff on all those channels for more than one hour. Maybe it was closer to two hours, but that counts the time I went into the kitchen to microwave that TV dinner. Eating TV dinners must count as watching TV time to Mr. CybertronicSonicVision. After living with my CybertronicSonicVision I have some questions: 1.) Who is Geraldo; 2.) Why are those ladies throwing chairs at each other on Jerry's show; 3.) How did Oprah get so knowledgeable and wise; 4.) Do actors need to own their guns or do the studios provide them and who are they registered to? 5.) Do computers do those special effects or are those actors and actresses really super-athletes? Whatever I really watched and the elapsed time, day of the week, time of day were, there is definitely one observation I can make after watching my new CybertronicSonicVision: We live in a trailer park in a banana republic. Cousin Anne, this is a wonderful piece of technology, but on what channel will I find the test pattern? Love, your grateful cousin, Headline Reports |
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